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20 New BUY Stocks a year: Resulting in 41% average return

Richard Hemming

This financial year we’ve covered 20 new stocks, which have produced an average annualised return of 41%. Our average return on all 140 stocks we have covered since we started seven years ago is 35%.

We not only keep covering stocks and giving clear Buy, Sell and Hold recommendations but we also give you new stocks for your portfolio.

Our Value Philosophy

Our success is in no small part due to our value philosophy. When a stock is beaten down and there is zero optimism in the price, it doesn’t take much to boost investor sentiment. You get that famous double whammy effect of rising profits and rising earnings multiples; plus you get the possibility of it being taken over.

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16% of Our Stocks have been Taken Over delivering Big Returns

It's not just us who utilise the value philosophy. Corporates do too and most takeover prospects are at the smaller end. We’ve recommended over 140 different companies, of which 21 have been taken over; a strike rate of over 16%. In 2017 and 2018 this percentage is even higher.

Global Construction Services: Returned 50%

In our current issue we cover a stock which produced the double whammy effect and is involved in a merger: Global Construction Services (GCS). In three months we made a 50% return after it reduced debt and gained an impressive foothold on the East Coast. The company has announced a “merger of equals” with fellow contractor SRG. We run our ruler over the deal to see whether there is value.

Ok, So what about all the other stocks! How have we gone?

We’ve had a few hiccups on the speculative front, such as Osprey Medical (OSP) and the lithium miner Orocobre (ORE), but we’ve also hit the ball out of the park on stocks taken over such as Billabong International, the contracting services group Programmed, the engineering group Seymour Whyte, Sirtex Medical, BigAir and ASG. Other stocks that haven’t been taken over have done well, like online retailer Kogan.com (KGN), the lithium developer Kidman Resources (KDR) and the resuscitated paper distributor Spicers (SRS).

Stocks we've avoided!

Just as important, because we are value orientated, we’ve avoided some of the big blow ups on the ASX, which have occurred at the so-called “growth” end of the market, which relies on momentum. When the music stops, it’s often carnage. We’ve seen turbulence with WiseTech Global (WTC), which got smacked but it’s climbed back up. Other “growth” stocks that haven’t rebounded include Domino’s Pizza (DMP), BigUn (BIG), GetSwift (GSW), Technology One (TNE), iSelect (ISU), Blue Sky Alternative Investments (BLA). Even the vet pet business Greencross (GXL) is down 32% this year.

We are experts at hunting for value

Value investing is all about investing for growth, but paying depressed value prices. Under the Radar Small Caps is the one place where you can always find opportunities to do that.

About the Author

Richard Hemming

Investment analyst and Editor of Under the Radar Report

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